El Nino Advisory
09 June 2026
PRESS RELEASE
DOST-PAGASA S&T Media Services
Quezon City, 09 June 2026
EL NIÑO ADVISORY
DOST-PAGASA reports that El Niño conditions are now present in the tropical Pacific. In May 2026, the observed relative sea surface temperature anomaly (rSSTA) reached the +0.5°C threshold. Additionally, most climate models suggest there is over an 80% probability that this will develop into a full-blown El Niño event, which is likely to persist until early 2027.
El Niño is the warm phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and is characterized by warmer-than-average SSTs in the Central and Eastern Equatorial Pacific and generally, cooler-than-average sea surface temperature over the Philippine Sea.
El Niño typically increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall conditions across much of the country, raising the risk of dry spells and drought, particularly in vulnerable areas. However, above-normal rainfall conditions may still occur, particularly over the western sections of the Philippines during the Southwest Monsoon (i.e., Habagat) season, especially when enhanced by tropical cyclone activity.
DOST-PAGASA will continue to closely monitor the ongoing El Niño condition and its associated impacts on the country’s climate. Meanwhile, all government agencies and the general public are strongly advised to take appropriate preparedness and response measures to mitigate their potential impacts, particularly in areas vulnerable to heavy rainfall and floods during Habagat season and those areas prone to below-normal rainfall conditions.
For more information, please call the Climatology and Agrometeorology Division (CAD) at (02) 8284-0800, local 4920 or 4921.
Originally Signed
NATHANIEL T. SERVANDO, Ph.D.
Administrator
DOST-PAGASA S&T Media Services
Quezon City, 09 June 2026
EL NIÑO ADVISORY
DOST-PAGASA reports that El Niño conditions are now present in the tropical Pacific. In May 2026, the observed relative sea surface temperature anomaly (rSSTA) reached the +0.5°C threshold. Additionally, most climate models suggest there is over an 80% probability that this will develop into a full-blown El Niño event, which is likely to persist until early 2027.
El Niño is the warm phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and is characterized by warmer-than-average SSTs in the Central and Eastern Equatorial Pacific and generally, cooler-than-average sea surface temperature over the Philippine Sea.
El Niño typically increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall conditions across much of the country, raising the risk of dry spells and drought, particularly in vulnerable areas. However, above-normal rainfall conditions may still occur, particularly over the western sections of the Philippines during the Southwest Monsoon (i.e., Habagat) season, especially when enhanced by tropical cyclone activity.
DOST-PAGASA will continue to closely monitor the ongoing El Niño condition and its associated impacts on the country’s climate. Meanwhile, all government agencies and the general public are strongly advised to take appropriate preparedness and response measures to mitigate their potential impacts, particularly in areas vulnerable to heavy rainfall and floods during Habagat season and those areas prone to below-normal rainfall conditions.
For more information, please call the Climatology and Agrometeorology Division (CAD) at (02) 8284-0800, local 4920 or 4921.
Originally Signed
NATHANIEL T. SERVANDO, Ph.D.
Administrator
