
The reason:
A Place of Hope
I was deeply moved to see this installation in the heart of Lviv.
The empty chair is waiting for its owner.
Each tag carries the name of a Ukrainian defender who is being held in captivity or is missing, while their family waits for them to come home.— Yaroslava (@strategywoman.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 4:04 PM
We had another out of cycle ballistic missile attack on Kyiv earlier tonight:
Kyiv again under attack by Russian ballistic missiles tonight, one wave of 6-8 missiles, and another of 4, but at least one of them was intercepted. There were hits on non residential premises, either direct or from shoot-down debris, and there is a large fire in eastern Kyiv.
— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 7:19 PM
These out of cycle strikes are clearly a result of Putin’s frustration with Ukraine’s successful strikes on petroleum facilities & infrastructure in Russia and Russian occupied Donetsk, Kherson, and Crimea.
It was also likely because President Zelenskyy hosted a whole mess of heads of state for the 5th Ukraine-Southeast Europe Summit.
Air defense is active in Kharkiv ‼️
Gosh, all I want is just one night where I don’t wake up to explosions terrified, confused, and blindly hitting every piece of furniture on a frantic sprint to the bathroom for some cover.
Oh, and fuck Russia.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 10:20 PM
That’s as of 5:20 AM local time/10:20 PM EDT.
Here are some of tonight’s outgoing Ukrainian fires:
HERE WE GO ❗️😎 DroneBomber
— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 5:15 PM
President Zelenskyy also fired Mykhailo Federov today. I saw somethings yesterday that indicated this might be coming, but didn’t want to post on it in case the reporting was just based on people jockeying for position behind the scenes. For instance:
🇺🇦 The Economist: Fedorov has launched a number of reforms in the military in his months in office, but they have met with resistance from some of the military leadership. Tensions between Fedorov and the generals surfaced during a meeting in early July.
1/3
— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) July 14, 2026 at 1:15 PM
The generals criticized Fedorov for supplying the army, and he responded that without his emergency purchases of drones at the beginning of the year, Ukraine’s current operations would have been impossible, particularly in Crimea.
2/3
— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) July 14, 2026 at 1:15 PM
The publication reports that Fedorov also has “deep disagreements” with the commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Syrskyi.
Two different coordinate systems. There is no common language, even if direct conflict is avoided.
3/3
— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) July 14, 2026 at 1:15 PM
More on this after the jump.
President Zelenskyy had a lot of events today. We’ll start with the address he made at the Ukraine-Southeast Europe Summit. Video below, English transcript after the jump.
Address by the President to the Participants of the 5th Ukraine–Southeast Europe Summit
15 July 2026 – 19:08
Dear friends, dear leaders!
Thank you so much that today you are with us! I am glad that we are all together, and that this format – the joint work of Ukraine and countries of South-Eastern Europe – is active and meaningful.
Today, the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, is also with us. Thank you very much, Ursula!
And this is very symbolic – here in Ukraine, on our Statehood Day, together with the President of the European Commission, we have representatives of one of the most important parts of Europe – the part whose stability is so important for the security and development of the whole of Europe.
Each of us is building relations with the European Union in its own way. It is not easy for every nation, but it is clearly worth the effort.
It is especially difficult for Ukraine today because of Russia’s blatant contempt for our choice and for our independence.
By working together, supporting one another, and building common security, defense, economic, political, and cultural ties, we make it possible for each of our nations – and for every nation in Europe – to preserve our identity and freely shape our own future.
You can all see what Ukraine and our people have already achieved. At the NATO Summit, by the way, in Türkiye, in Ankara, it was clearly recognized that Ukraine is a contributor to our shared security – the security of the Euro-Atlantic community, which we all belong in.
Many nations are interested in security cooperation with Ukraine. And we are ready, as equal partners and in a way that benefits both sides, to help our partners strengthen their security at sea, in the air, and on land. And I am grateful to you for your readiness to continue supporting our fight for independence. And I deeply value our joint work – bilaterally, through formats such as the Coalition of the Willing, and through other multilateral formats.
There are several key tasks in front of us.
First of all, we must bring European capabilities together as much as possible. Europe must be able to defend itself. And this is also a strategic goal, I think, of us, of Europe, of the United States, which they speak about quite openly. Our Drone Deals format can be very useful in achieving this goal.
Second.
We must achieve more in the practical protection of our way of life in every area. Let us coordinate more and do more bilaterally, including to counter Russia’s attempts to destabilize our countries by the multitude of means.
Third.
We can all see the political consequences that a cost-of-living crisis can have if we do not act effectively enough. Security, stability, and stronger ties with a wider range of partners are the way to protect people in every sense.
Fourth.
Please, let us act together, speak with one voice and coordinate all diplomatic steps that Europe can take to bring this war to an end. This is crucial; this is difficult. I hope that we will a bit later speak about this with more details.
And fifth.
No less important than the other points. I ask all of you to support every form of sanctions against Russia for this war. Russia must not be given relief or time to adapt to the pressure imposed because of its war.
Russia must remember that this is its war – and that it must end its war.
The 21st sanctions package is now on the table. Please support this package. Do not allow Russia to bypass sanctions. We must focus especially on hitting Putin’s sources of money and Russia’s energy exports. Money is what drives Putin’s ambitions. Peace will come closer when pressure cuts Russian revenues off as much as possible. This matters.
I thank everyone who supports this kind of pressure, and everyone who is doing everything possible to help us protect lives here and now from Russian strikes. Thank you very much, partners, for the visit. And thank you to everybody who is with us – always. And who is for the first time in Kyiv. You are very welcome. Thank you very much.
Here’s the summit declaration:
Ukraine–Southeast Europe Summit: Kyiv Declaration
15 July 2026 – 18:58
We, the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy and President of the Republic of Albania Bajram Begaj, President of the Hellenic Republic Constantine Tassoulas, President of the Republic of Moldova Maia Sandu, President of Romania Nicușor Dan, Prime Minister of Republic of Croatia Andrej Plenković, Prime Minister of the Republic of Slovenia Janez Janša, First Deputy Prime Minister of the Government of the Republic of North Macedonia and Minister of European Affairs Bekim Sali, Deputy Prime Minister for Foreign and European Affairs of Montenegro Filip Ivanović, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Bulgaria Velislava Petrova-Chamova, gathered in Kyiv on July 15, 2026 for the fifth Ukraine–Southeast Europe Summit [in the presence of European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen].
Building upon the outcomes of our previous meetings in Athens, Tirana, Dubrovnik and Odesa, we reaffirm the Ukraine–Southeast Europe Summit as an important framework for political dialogue, regional cooperation and shared security.
Meeting in Kyiv on the Day of Ukrainian Statehood carries symbolic significance, as it affirms the continuity of more than a thousand years of Ukrainian statehood.
Recognizing that the security of Ukraine, the Black Sea region and Southeast Europe is interlinked, we adopt the following Declaration.
- We remain united in the conviction that there can be no lasting peace, security, stability and prosperity in Europe without a sovereign and independent Ukraine. We commend the resilience, strength and courage of the Ukrainian people in the struggle for their national identity, future and freedom against Russia’s aggression since 2014 and reaffirm our unwavering commitment to provide Ukraine with comprehensive support. These joint efforts are crucial for shaping Europe’s future.
- We reiterate our condemnation of Russia’s illegal, unprovoked, and unjustified armed aggression against Ukraine and urge Russia to end the war immediately. This gross violation of international law, including the UN Charter, poses a serious threat to peace and stability in Europe. We strongly condemn any political, military, technical, financial, or other support to the Russian Federation’s war efforts provided by third states, and call for its immediate cessation.
- We strongly condemn Russia’s intensified regular massive attacks on Kyiv and other locations across Ukraine in blatant violation of international law. We express our deepest condolences to all of the victims. Targeting civilians and vital infrastructure constitutes a war crime. We urge Russia to stop its missile and drone attacks on peaceful cities of Ukraine, which have already claimed numerous civilian lives and caused extensive damage to critical infrastructure, including energy, water supply, sewage facilities. These deliberate attempts to cause a humanitarian catastrophe escalate the war and undermine ongoing peace efforts.
- We reiterate that strengthening Ukraine’s air defense capabilities remains a priority, in particular by relevant systems and interceptors capable of intercepting ballistic missiles. We support mobilizing the necessary financial resources and international mechanisms to that end, recognizing that stronger air defense saves civilian lives and protects critical infrastructure.
- We reaffirm our unwavering support for the independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine within its internationally recognized borders, including its territorial sea. These universal principles laid the foundation for peace, security, stability and prosperity in Europe. We underline our policy of non-recognition of any attempted illegal alteration of these borders and reaffirm Ukraine’s inherent right to self-defense in accordance with Article 51 of the UN Charter. We stress that the complete, unconditional and verifiable withdrawal of Russian forces and military equipment from the entire territory of Ukraine remains an indispensable condition for achieving a lasting peace. No decisions concerning Ukraine can be taken without Ukraine.
- We remain united in our solidarity with Ukraine and committed, alongside our partners, to restoring a comprehensive, just and lasting peace for Ukraine, based on international law. We commend Ukraine’s unwavering commitment to peace and President Zelenskyy’s call for negotiations to bring an end to the war. We appreciate the efforts of our partners and allies to facilitate the end of the war. We urge Russia to reciprocate by agreeing to a full and comprehensive ceasefire.
- We acknowledge the important work of the Coalition of the Willing as an effective mechanism for supporting Ukraine, including in terms of providing Ukraine with robust and legally binding security guarantees, and express the readiness to enhance our participation in its work.
- We welcome the recent opening of the two negotiation clusters with Ukraine and the Republic of Moldova, and support the opening of the other clusters as soon as possible in line with the merit-based approach. We commend the accession progress of Southeast European partners. We recognize that these achievements reinforce each other’s progress and create new momentum for EU enlargement. The future EU membership of the Western Balkans partners, as well as of Ukraine, and of the Republic of Moldova is a strategic investment into the long-term stability, security, and prosperity of Europe. Building on the mutual support of each other’s merit-based accession process, we reaffirm our determination to intensify joint efforts to ensure continued and sustainable progress of all candidates on their individual path towards EU membership. To capture the new momentum for EU enlargement, the partners remain committed to sustaining targeted reforms and decisively meeting membership criteria, including full alignment with the EU’s Common Foreign and Security Policy.
- Ukraine’s security is our security. Ukraine contributes to transatlantic security, and we stand united in our unwavering support for Ukraine in defending its freedom, sovereignty, and territorial integrity, as stated in the NATO Summit Declaration in Ankara. We reaffirm our support for Ukraine’s Euro-Atlantic aspirations on its irreversible path towards future NATO membership, once the Allies agree and conditions are met, as well as its sovereign right to choose its own security arrangements and determine its own future. We recognize that Ukraine’s defense capabilities strengthen Euro-Atlantic security and underscore the importance of expanding defense cooperation to support Ukraine’s long-term security and resilience.
- We strongly condemn all violations of international humanitarian law and international human rights law committed as part of Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine. We call for the immediate return of all unlawfully deported and forcibly transferred Ukrainian citizens, in particular Ukrainian children, the release of all illegally detained civilians and prisoners of war.
- We reaffirm that there can be no impunity for the crime of aggression. We support international efforts to ensure accountability for crimes committed against Ukraine, including through the Special Tribunal for the Crime of Aggression against Ukraine. We commend the States that have already joined the Enlarged Partial Agreement on the establishment of the Management Committee for the Special Tribunal for the Crime of Aggression against Ukraine. We, the remaining participants, express our intention to consider joining the Agreement in due course and contributing to this important effort.
- We call for further strengthening of sanctions pressure on the Russian Federation and its war economy, ensuring their effective implementation, countering Russia’s shadow fleet and strengthening international cooperation against sanctions evasion, cyber threats and other hybrid activities that undermine European security.
- We strongly condemn Russia’s continued attacks against Ukraine’s energy infrastructure and reaffirm our commitment to strengthening regional energy security through closer cooperation, diversification of supply routes, enhanced interconnectivity and support for the restoration and modernization of Ukraine’s energy system, including through the Ukraine Energy Support Fund. We encourage partners to build upon Ukraine’s unique experience in strengthening energy resilience under wartime conditions.
- We underline the strategic importance of the Black Sea region for European and global security. Russia’s aggression against Ukraine, attacks on freedom of navigation, including attacks against merchant vessels and civilian ports, cyberattacks, foreign information manipulation and interference, targeting critical infrastructure, drone incursions and violations of sovereign airspace, and attempts to undermine democratic institutions have become common challenges for our region. We commit to strengthening air and maritime security, counter-drone capabilities, regional connectivity, protection of critical infrastructure, freedom and safety of navigation, energy resilience and coordinated responses to hybrid threats in accordance with international law, including UNCLOS.
- We strongly condemn Russia’s illegal occupation and militarization of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP), which continue to undermine nuclear safety and violate the IAEA’s Seven Indispensable Pillars of Nuclear Safety and Security and Five principles for ensuring nuclear safety and security at the ZNPP. We reiterate our demand that Russia immediately withdraw all military and other unauthorized personnel from the plant and return it under Ukraine’s control.
- We strongly condemn the Russian Federation’s systematic use of hazardous chemicals against Ukraine in violation of the Chemical Weapons Convention. We reaffirm that ensuring full accountability in this regard remains a priority. We support the efforts within the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) to investigate incidents involving hazardous chemicals and attributing responsibility for their use.
- We reaffirm our readiness to contribute actively to Ukraine’s recovery and reconstruction, humanitarian demining, environmental recovery and the restoration of affected communities, in close cooperation with international financial institutions, international organizations and the private sector. We recognize the important contribution that Ukrainian veterans will make to Ukraine’s long-term recovery and development.
- We recognize that Russia’s war of aggression is accompanied by systematic hybrid activities targeting Ukraine and the countries of Southeast Europe. We commit to strengthening cooperation in countering cyber threats, foreign information manipulation and interference (FIMI), disinformation campaigns and other malicious activities aimed at undermining democratic institutions, public trust and regional stability, and European integration.
- We acknowledge that the EU accession path creates new opportunities for our practical cooperation. We reaffirm our commitment to strengthening rule of law, human rights and democratic governance, regional cooperation, resilience, connectivity, and energy diversification to mitigate challenges as well as to contribute to lasting peace, stability, and prosperity in our region and across Europe.
- We agree to continue regular political dialogue and coordination at all levels to further strengthen regional cooperation, and reaffirm that a secure, free, peaceful, and prosperous Europe is not possible without a secure, free, peaceful, and prosperous Ukraine, and remain committed to supporting it.
- We have agreed to hold the next Summit in the Republic of Slovenia in 2027.
And here’s the video of the summit press conference:
And here’s the video of President Zelenskyy’s joint press conference with European Council President Ursala von der Leyen:
Georgia:
Democratic leader Zurab Girchi Japaridze was knocked off his scooter by a car, and he has concussion, some memory issues, and some injuries. The police stated they would find the guilty party, but let’s see.
— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 10:43 AM
1/ Eight opposition politicians are on trial in Georgia in the so-called “sabotage case”, an investigation launched by prosecutors on 8 February 2025 following a complaint by the government-affiliated group United Neutral Georgia.
— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 9:10 AM
2/ Several members of the group were questioned in court on Tuesday as prosecution witnesses. After the hearing, defence lawyer Omar Purtseladze said the indictment identifies the United States as a “hostile state”.
— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 9:10 AM
3/ According to Purtseladze, witnesses from United Neutral Georgia testified that the CIA had been organising a coup attempt in Georgia and that the defendants were cooperating with the agency.
— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 9:10 AM
4/ “They say that the hostile state acting against Georgia is the USA,” Purtseladze said.
— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 9:10 AM
5/ He added that one witness, Levan Nikoleishvili, claimed that European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas, and EU Enlargement Commissioner Marta Kos were supporters of what he described as an “agent network”.
— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 9:10 AM
6/ The case concerns charges of sabotage, attempted sabotage, and assisting hostile activities. The defendants are opposition politicians Elene Khoshtaria, Nika Gvaramia, Zurab Japaridze, Giorgi Vashadze, Nika Melia, Badri Japaridze, Mamuka Khazaradze, and former president Mikheil Saakashvili.
— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 9:10 AM
7/ Speaking after the hearing, Japaridze said witnesses alleged that opposition politicians, media outlets, NGOs, and anti-government protesters formed part of a broad “agent network”.
— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 9:10 AM
8/ According to him, they claimed that protests on Tbilisi’s Rustaveli Avenue in late 2024 were an attempted coup financed by the CIA through USAID.
— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 9:10 AM
9/ Hearings are closed to the media and the public. Defence lawyers argue the case is politically motivated and say prosecutors lack substantive evidence, relying instead on politicians’ public statements and witnesses’ interpretations of their gestures.
— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 9:10 AM
10/ The defence expects a verdict could be delivered by late July or early August.
— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 9:10 AM
The PRC:
Signs are growing that Putin’s usefulness to Xi is running out:
🔹China is making friends with those expected to take over after Putin’s death
🔹Putin has been explicitly warned not to use nukes, no matter what
🔹China won’t buy more gas until Putin agrees to a huge discount🍿
— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 3:05 AM
Holland:
The US:
Last night commenter YY_Sima Qian brought this important logistics news to everyone’s attention in the comments, but I want to make sure it get’s covered in the update proper as it’s an issue I’ve written about many many times over the past four and a 1/2 year.
The inability of a munitions plant in Mesquite, Texas, to build a key part set back the U.S. Army’s plans for ramping up production of 155mm shells to 100,000 rounds per month, according to a scathing new report by the War Department’s Office of Inspector General (DOWIG). Despite receiving close to $500 million from the U.S. Army funded through supplemental spending bills from Fiscal Years 2022 and 2023, General Dynamics Ordnance and Tactical Systems (GD-OTS), failed to make a single subcomponent needed to produce the badly needed shells as of last March.
“Without the 30,000 additional projectile metal parts anticipated from the Mesquite facility, the Army will be unable to reach its monthly capability goal of 100,000 155-mm artillery rounds,” the report concluded. “As of March 2026, the CPE A&E [Capability Program Executive Ammunition & Energetics] officials have not developed a plan to produce the additional rounds that are supposed to be produced at the Mesquite facility.”
At present, the Army is only producing 36,000 rounds per month, inspectors revealed.
Through modernization efforts and two new facilities, the Army expects to exceed the 100,000-round-per-month goal significantly by the end of next year. The initial goal was established by Congress in the wake of the U.S. providing millions of rounds to Ukraine.
Still, the report highlights the challenges U.S. arms makers face in trying to meet tighter timelines to produce more weapons. This all comes as the U.S. is increasingly concerned about stockpiles of a wide array of munitions after heavy usage in past and current conflicts and donations to partners like Ukraine, as well as foreign military sales. These are issues that we raised long before and during the current war with Iran, but they have become major headlines in the aftermath of the initial stages of that conflict.
The plant at the center of this new report is the Universal Artillery Projectile Line owned and operated by General Dynamics Ordnance and Tactical Systems. It opened in May 2024 to great fanfare and high hopes
According to the IG report, more than three million 155mm shells were donated to Ukraine, more than 111,000 rounds were used over the past four years on training and testing, and nearly 218,000 rounds were sold to foreign customers. Combined, U.S. stocks were depleted by more than 3.6 million rounds since the start of the war in Ukraine.
The Mesquite plant was opened to help replenish the supply. However, according to DOWIG, it failed to live up to expectations.
“The DoW increased its capability and capacity to produce 155-mm artillery ammunition but did not reach the 2025 National Defense Industrialization Strategy Implementation Plan goal of 100,000 rounds per month by October 2025,” the DOWIG report pointed out.
As of March 2026, “the Army had increased its monthly production from 14,000 to 36,000 rounds because of expansion and modernization efforts at both the projectile metal parts and the load, assemble, and pack facilities,” the IG report noted. “However, at a contractor-owned, contractor-operated facility in Mesquite, Texas, the contractor has been unable to produce any projectile metal parts that meet contract specifications.”
According to an Army news release about the plant opening, it was built to “feature high-volume production capabilities for large-caliber metal parts and is equipped with long-stroke, high-tonnage forging capabilities.”
“The facility’s 155mm metal parts production lines also meet Army modernization goals by incorporating high levels of automation, modern manufacturing practices, and digital-data-capture ability. It will offer the flexibility to produce a variety of metal parts ranging from 60mm to 155mm, with minimal changeover requirements,” the Army added.
The Army “planned for the Mesquite Texas facility to produce 30,000 rounds per month,” the report added. “With only three facilities producing the required projectile metal parts, the DoW will reach only 71,000 rounds per month, or 71 percent of its monthly production capacity goal for 155-mm artillery rounds.”
We’ve reached out to General Dynamics and the Army for comment and will update this story should the company respond.
The main issue inspectors found was that the plant adapted equipment used to make parts for M107 155mm shells to produce parts for M795 155‑mm shells. The latter is an upgraded version of the munition that is slightly heavier and longer, and has an extended range.
More at the link.
As I’ve written more times that I want to count in previous updates, if the US is unable and/or unwilling to fix its defense industrial base (DIB), then it is continue to have significant strategic, operational, and tactical problems. It is impossible to achieve maximum lethality if you don’t have any weapons systems or munitions to be maximally lethal with. Moreover, it makes it almost impossible to fulfill both weapons sales to allies and partners and transfer of military material as aid to allies and partners. The US makes very impressive, very expensive weapons systems, weapons, and munitions. It takes forever to make them to the point that once we’ve used them they’re functionally gone until replacements can be produced. The only people prospering under the current organization and functioning of the US defense industrial base are the contracting companies and those who own their stock.
And we’re going to get a real live experiment as to how this all works:
The U.S. has begun the process of granting Ukraine licenses to produce Patriot missiles, moving the matter beyond political statements.
Lockheed Martin, the U.S. defense company that manufactures the missiles, backs granting Ukraine the licenses – Kyiv Independent
Let’s GO! 💪
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 10:36 AM
Back to Ukraine.
Fedorov’s list of achievements in six months as defense minister is extremely impressive, and his tenure has coincided with a turn in war in Ukraine’s favor. But it is his disruptive, innovative approach that likely got him fired, at the behest of the military, which is a hugely conservative group.
— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:17 PM
It is also possible his blocking of corruption in defense procurement was another factor.
Whatever the reason, it would be a foolish decision to fire him, as it puts politics ahead of national defense at a critical moment.
— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:17 PM
The Kremlin will applaud Fedorov’s removal, while Ukraine’s friends will be appalled. Moreover, the rank-and-file military, who bear the brunt of the boneheaded decisions of Soviet-trained officers, will be dismayed.
— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:17 PM
The Kremlin will applaud Fedorov’s removal, while Ukraine’s friends will be appalled. Moreover, the rank-and-file military, who bear the brunt of the boneheaded decisions of Soviet-trained officers, will be dismayed.
— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:17 PM
The decision is also widely unpopular with the Ukrainian public, and will likely prompt large-scale protests, again to the delight of the Kremlin.
— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:17 PM
However, such protests have been effective in the past in reversing unpopular government actions (such as the attempt a year ago to muzzle Ukraine’s independent anti-corruption agencies), so there is an opportunity for Zelensky to backtrack:
— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:17 PM
The process of the reshuffle of a government in Ukraine involves the resignation of the PM, which requires the automatic resignation of the entire cabinet.
— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:17 PM
It is not precluded that Fedorov could be repointed as defense minister under the next PM, though only if Zelensky and his new PM feel under enough pressure to do this.
— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:17 PM
Such pressure could come from mass public protests, but that will hurt Zelensky’s own popularity and only increase his paranoia over his political position.
— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:17 PM
He does not suffer potential rivals lightly, which is his chief weakness in wartime, when it is actually unlikely he will himself be removed.
— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:17 PM
Ultimately, if Fedorov is not reinstated, it will be up to the next defense minister to repeat and improve on his impressive list of achievements, to show that Fedorov’s removal was the correct decision for the country.
— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:17 PM
There is no current candidate for defense minister in view who would be capable of this.
— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:17 PM
I strongly disagree with the decision to replace Mykhailo Fedorov as defense minister, and I don’t think most Ukrainians will be happy about this. This is an extremely bizarre and untimely move that must be reversed immediately.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 1:44 PM
Unfortunately, Ukraine’s Minister of Defense has changed today. Ihor Klymenko has been appointed as the new minister.
Symbolically, on the day of the government’s dismissal, a successful test of a ballistic missile – developed under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Defense – was conducted.
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 5:50 PM
Fedorov confirmed that he is stepping down as Minister of Defense, adding that it was a great honor for him to serve the Ukrainian people.
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 5:50 PM
🇺🇦 “Fedorov remains on the president’s team, but what he’ll do next will become clearer next week,” say sources in Servant of the People party.
— The Ukrainian Review (@theukrainianreview.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 1:48 PM
🇺🇦👀 In the center of Lviv, people are slowly gathering in support of keeping Mykhailo Fedorov as Minister of Defense.
— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 3:55 PM
🇺🇦 Zelensky has submitted to the Verkhovna Rada the candidacy of Serhiy Koretsky for the position of Prime Minister of Ukraine, — Stefanchuk
— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 4:26 PM
Sumy:
WARNING!! WARNING!! GRAPHIC IMAGERY!! WARNING!! WARNING!!
In Sumy 3 people have been killed and others injured after Russian guided aerial bombs struck near a medical facility‼️
Terrorists!
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:58 AM
ALL CLEAR!!!!
Odesa:
In Odesa, 3 people have been killed and at least 3 others injured in russian missile strike ‼️
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 9:02 AM
Mykolaiv Oblast:
A 67-year-old man was killed in the Mykolaiv region as a result of a Russian attack‼️
Another civilian, aged 65, was wounded and has been hospitalized.
Russian drones struck the territory of an agricultural enterprise in the Novyi Buh community this afternoon.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 10:21 AM
Chernihiv Oblast:
In Chernihiv region 1 person was killed in a Russian drone attack‼️
A 36-year-old man was killed in the Pryluky district after russian drones crashed onto his home.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 10:27 AM
Zaporizhzhia:
WARNING!! WARNING!! GRAPHIC IMAGERY!! WARNING!! WARNING!!
Russians struck Zaporizhzhia, killing at least 1 person and injuring 2 others‼️
Apartment building was damaged, so the number of casualties may rise.
Its 9th killed by russians person that I’m reporting TODAY.
Today alone they just killed 9 people, its not even evening yet!
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 10:48 AM
ALL CLEAR!!!!
UPD: Russian airstrike on Zaporizhzhia has left 15 injured and 3 dead‼️ One person was successfully rescued from the rubble.
That brings the number of Ukrainians killed by Russian bombings today to 13. These are only the casualties I could find online and report.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 5:35 PM
They were simply at home, at work, or walking around their towns and cities. They did nothing wrong!
These are inhuman attacks. This is terrorism. It’s heartbreaking how blind the world is to these daily war crimes.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 5:35 PM
The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant:
❗️Russian state agency TASS, citing Rosatom chief Alexei Likhachev, said a drone strike killed occupied Zaporizhzhia NPP chief engineer Alexander Yakovlev and his driver. After Russia occupied Enerhodar, Yakovlev sided with Moscow, took Russian citizenship, and joined Rosatom. #Ukraine
— NOELREPORTS (@noelreports.com) July 15, 2026 at 5:53 PM
Donetsk Oblast:
In Donetsk region 2 people were killed, and 3 injured in Russian strike‼️
An attack on the residential area of Yasna Polyana village injured 3 people and damaged 17 homes. The bodies of two victims were recovered from the rubble of a destroyed house.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 1:13 PM
Kharkiv:
WARNING!! WARNING!! GRAPHIC IMAGERY!! WARNING!! WARNING!!
Russia struck Kharkiv with a glide bomb earlier today, injuring 8 people. 3 of them are in critical condition in intensive care‼️
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 1:24 PM
ALL CLEAR!!!!
The Black Sea:
⚓️🔥 BREAKING: Ukraine has started mass strikes on Russian vessels in the Black Sea.
Unmanned Systems Forces of drones hit 20 Russian ships overnight on July 15: 17 oil tankers, 2 gas carriers and 1 tug.
— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 1:35 AM
/2. After the campaign against Russia’s feeder fleet in the Sea of Azov, the new phase is now targeting Russian vessels directly in the Black Sea.
I had been waiting to see if this stage would begin. Now it has. In a week or two, the Black Sea may look much emptier for Russia.
— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 1:35 AM
⚓️🔥 Black Sea: Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces opened the Black Sea campaign on July 15.
During the first night, USF drones hunted down 20 Russian vessels: 17 oil tankers, 2 gas carriers and 1 tug.
— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 4:28 AM
/2. The total score of the July 6 to 15 maritime campaign is now 136 Russian vessels hit: 116 in the Sea of Azov from July 6 to 14, and 20 more in the Black Sea on July 15.
— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 4:28 AM
Russian occupied Crimea:
On the night of July 14, the Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked the Balaklava Thermal Power Plant, triggering a total blackout in Kerch. The city is completely without power.
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 2:02 PM
The so-called “Krymenergo” added that Ukrainian drone strikes on power supply facilities had left parts of the peninsula’s Northwestern and Eastern energy regions without electricity.
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 2:02 PM
Kherson:
Just a regular Wednesday in Kherson: a woman walks to work while a Russian Shahed being shot down can be heard in the background.
www.instagram.com/reel/Dauz0s7…— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 4:29 PM
Zhytomyr Oblast:
Russia attacked the Zhytomyr region today and, according to defense minister’s advisor Flash, likely used repeaters in Belarus once again to control the Shahed drone that struck a gas station.
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 3:28 PM
Belgorod Oblast, Russia:
Ukrainian forces have struck a Russian Mi-28 helicopter using an FPV drone 👀💥
The drone costs less than $400, whereas the Mi-28 is valued between $16 million and $19 million.
This marks the second Russian helicopter to be hit by an FPV drone.
— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:33 AM
Chelyabinsk Oblast, Russia:
Russian media report that the first shooting in a gas line has occurred in Chelyabinsk, with one Russian hospitalized with a gunshot wound.
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 3:24 PM
Kaluga Oblast, Russia:
💥 Satellite images of Pervyi Zavod oil refinery in Tovarkovo, Kaluga Region.
After two drone attacks, traces of fire were observed near three storage tanks and an oil refining unit.
— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 12:04 PM
Saratov Oblast, Russia:
🔥 In Engels, Saratov region, the Engels airbase was attacked
— MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) July 15, 2026 at 8:49 PM
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War for Ukraine Day 1,602: Another Out of Cycle Ballistic Missile AttackPost + Comments (5)



