Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:32AM EDT on Jul 16, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,643,377 bet so far
Image REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.0-56.0%$5,984,856
Polymarket 🌎54.5-55.4%$3,179,027
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.7-60.7%$352,704
Betfair 🇬🇧53.2-54.6%$119,171
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.6-54.7%$7,629

55.5%

Image 0.2%
Image DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$5,984,856
Polymarket 🌎44.6-45.5%$3,179,027
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.8-40.8%$352,704
Betfair 🇬🇧45.5-46.7%$119,171
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.5-48.1%$7,629

44.5%

Image-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:10AM EDT on Jul 16, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$691,465,199 bet so far
Image Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.8-19.9%$661,868,189
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$26,817,828
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$1,333,669
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$234,271

18.8%

Image 0.2%
Image Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.1-14.2%$661,868,189
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$26,817,828
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.6%$1,333,669
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,211,742

14.5%

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Image Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.6-11.7%$661,868,189
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$26,817,828
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.2%$1,333,669
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.9%$234,271

13.1%

Image-0.1%
Image Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.8-7.9%$661,868,189
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.6%$26,817,828
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-8.0%$1,333,669
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-9.5%$234,271

9.0%

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Image Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$661,868,189
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.5%$26,817,828
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,333,669
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$234,271

3.8%

+0.0%
Image DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$661,868,189
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.3%$26,817,828
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$234,271

3.1%

Image 0.6%
Image Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.4%$661,868,189
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$26,817,828
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,333,669
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$234,271

2.9%

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Image Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$661,868,189
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$26,817,828
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,333,669
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$234,271

2.8%

+0.0%
Image Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$234,271

2.7%

+0.0%
Image I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$234,271

2.0%

-0.0%
Image Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$661,868,189
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$26,817,828
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-2.0%$1,333,669
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$234,271

1.3%

+0.0%
Image Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$661,868,189
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$26,817,828
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$234,271

1.3%

-0.0%
Image Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$234,271

1.1%

-0.0%
Image Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$661,868,189
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$26,817,828
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$234,271

0.5%

-0.0%
Image Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$234,271

0.4%

+0.0%
Image Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$234,271

0.4%

+0.0%
Image Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$661,868,189
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.7%$26,817,828
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,271

0.4%

-0.0%
Image Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$234,271

0.4%

-0.0%
Image Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,271

0.3%

-0.0%
Image Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$234,271

0.2%

+0.0%
Image Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,271

0.2%

+0.0%
Image Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,271

0.1%

-0.0%
Image Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$234,271

0.1%

+0.0%
Image Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,333,669
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$234,271

0.1%

-0.0%
Image

20.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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