I read a report this week that assessed that Russian casualties in the Ukraine war have now exceeded Soviet loses at Stalingrad- 1.4 million dead and wounded. Some may be tempted to dismiss the figure as Western propaganda, but doing so leaves open the question of why there has been no Russian battlefield breakthrough. After four years of war, Russia controls little more territory than the Donbass rebels controlled at its beginning. The war has been a political disaster for Russia. Contrary to initial expectations, Russia did not quickly overwhelm Ukrainian defences or collapse its morale. The Russian economy was also expected to contract as a result of sanctions. While the expected economic damage has been staved off so far, growth has slowed significantly. With no obvious way to end the war and save political face Putin seems to have boxed himself into a situation that can only deteriorate. The debacle serves as yet another reminder that at this point in history wars of choice are materially irrational.
As Russia massed troops on the Ukraine border in 2022 anti-imperialist critics in and of the West pointed to the steady eastward expansion of NATO as the cause of the crisis. They were not incorrect, but the cause of a crisis that increases the probability of war is not the same as the cause of the war. The cause of war is always the decision to go to war by one or other of the parties to the conflict. Wars are not natural events; they are political decisions. Since the decision to go to war will set off a chain of events in which lives will be lost that would not have been lost had the war not commenced there are always moral criticisms to be made about the resort to arms. However, critics cannot stop at moral condemnation. Although wars begin because political decisions are made, those decisions are made in political-economic-social contexts that exercize a constraining force on options. The more intense crises become, the less room for peaceful manoeuvre politicians have. I came up with the term “material irrationality” as a response to my worries about the limits of moral criticism of international political conflicts. Wars are functions of choices, but not arbitrary choices: there are reasons why politicians choose to go to war and they will always appeal to that necessity to justify the choice. Critics of war as a means of conflict resolution cannot simply reject that appeal as an ideological excuse. To ignore the pressures exerted by circumstances is mere moralism that invokes life-values but ignores the problem of whether or not those values could have guided alternative courses of action in the concrete historical context.
By calling wars of choice materially irrational rather than simply immoral sacrifices of life I was trying to bring together the value of life-preservation with attention to the real contexts of political choice in international affairs. If a war of choice was materially irrational then it must have been concretely possible for politicians to have chosen a non-military means of conflict resolution. The choice to go to war is materially irrational when it undermines rather than promotes the political values invoked as justification for going to war in a choice space in which on-going negotiations were possible. In Putin’s case, he justified his aggression in terms of national security, but he has made Russia less rather than more secure, exposing serious military weaknesses but more importantly hastening the very outcome he most wanted to prevent: the encirclement of Russia by NATO, now a fact after Sweden and Finland joined. It is true that NATO and US policy was provocative, but there was no supreme emergency that would justify Russia being provoked into the war it started. And now 1.4 million Russians have paid the price.
The main contribution the idea of “material irrationality” makes to the critique of international relations is that it does not judge events in terms of extraneous moral values that themselves require justifying arguments but starts from the political goals invoked by the parties. Hence Hamas’s October 7th attacks of Israel were materially irrational because they set back rather than advanced Palestinian struggle for self-determination and Israel’s reaction to the attacks are likewise materially irrational because they have isolated Israel politically and make it more rather than less likely (although still not very likely) that condemnation will give way to concrete sanctions against the Israeli state. One accepts the value of goals like self-determination and national security rather than plucking some other set of values from an imagined alternative world and then demonstrates that the means chosen undermined rather than promoted the value. By criticizing these strategies and tactics as materially irrational I wanted to highlight the existence of other political means of pursuing the stated objectives as a way of concentrating the political imagination on solving problems as they actually appear, as opposed to speculating about an alternative world that might be theoretically possible but whose path to actualization no one can specify. Political problems have real negative effects on peoples’ lives right now: effective political criticism contributes to the solution of those problems in as short a time frame was possible so that the lives of the people suffering the consequences of those problems are improved. “Another world is possible” talk invoke futures in which the deep structural causes of all social problems have been removed but ignore people’s immediate need for practical amelioration of their actual life conditions. The abstractness of the goals of left wing other-world thinking has contributed to the rise and power of right wing populism.
That outcome is itself materially irrational given that the right is defined by the goal of securing and augmenting ruling class power over the majority of people. Although the composition and complexity of the working class has changed dramatically in the late twentieth and twenty-first century the majority of people still work for a living and the crucial problems that they face remain functions of the dynamics of capitalist society. The changing international division of labour has benefited some workers outside of the Global North (most notably in China) but has trapped others in extremely dangerous and precarious forms of old and new labour. The shift of manufacturing industries out of the Global North has also created a large class fraction of precarious and gig workers in the Global North, disrupting old working class identities and solidarities and pushing too many working class people into the illusions that populists like Trump, or Marie Le Pen, or Nigel Farage have solutions for them. If there was ever a time when class consciousness was needed it is now, to re-build solidarity between white and immigrant workers and workers in the Global North and Global South. The weakness of the socialist left for the past 4 decades has aided the rise of the right and the rise of corrosive and materially irrational identity politics. Warring communitarianisms of the right and left waste time and energy over opposed but equally essentialized and romantic symbolic worldviews while the underlying ecological, political, economic, and, social causes of environmental crisis, poverty, inequality, international conflict, and alienation go unaddressed.
The idea of material irrationality is not an abstract philosophical idea but at the heart of efficacious political practice. It suggests that the best means of ideological engagement with right wing forces is to avoid ideological argument altogether and focus on the observable failures of right wing parties in power: failures that can be brought together under the idea of material irrationality. Take the example of Trump’s old-school red baiting of the still developing social democratic wing of the Democratic Party. The wisest response to Trump’s warnings about a new “communist menace” is none at all. Let Trump bloviate to himself and focus on working out and building support for policies that will re-channel resources from the largely untaxed profits of corporations and capital gains of wealthy individuals to public purposes, public institutions and public goods.
This argument can be generalized to the critique of political priorities and social institutions. So much of the history of political philosophy has been wasted on debate about the meaning and implications of names for social systems: what is the “true” nature of capitalism, communism, socialism, feminism, and so forth? But there is no “true” nature of any of these systems: to take a Wittgenstinain approach, the meaning of the word is its use. Therefore, the names have meant whatever those with the power to assert them have meant. The real issue is not with the meaning of the terms but with the implications of different institutional structures and value systems for the quality of life of the majority of the people. People are not harmed by “capitalism.” They are harmed by being deprived of the resources they require to live healthy, valuable and valued, and enjoyable lives. If a social system permits the private accumulation of wealth and resources to the point where others cannot satisfy the full range of their fundamental natural and social needs then that system– whatever one wants to call it– harms the lives of the deprived. So too for the ecological damage that a system that requires constant growth causes. The operations of the system cause harm to the living things whose habitats it destroys, on those who pay the immediate costs of climate change and environmental degradation, and eventually everyone, because all human beings require breathable air, potable water, arable soils, for survival. Critics must focus on the causal connections that explain the harm rather than making abstract arguments that “capitalism” cannot solve ecological crisis.” Instead of abstract theoretical proofs that an alternative system is necessary critics need to build for support for changes that can be made right now. They need to focus not on demonstrating that “another world is possible” but rather that it is possible to address concrete problems in this world, right now, and that not making those changes is materially irrational, because one can deny the reality of environmental degradation, but no one can escape its deleterious effects on life in the long run. The irrationality is not a logical contradiction but a threat to life on which all other goods– social, economic, cultural– depend.
Hence the “task of socialists” if one wants to talk that way is not to prove that “another world is possible” or to wax poetic about past injustices and crimes as if they ha da time machine that could take us back and create a different history than the one that happened. It is to work out and institutionalize actual polices that address concrete problems in ways that demonstrably improve the lives of the people living today. When policies get to the heart of a problem they should be affirmed; when they contribute to the problem they should be criticized. The ruse of reason is not going to lead us to socialism because it does not exist. People organizing and fighting for this set of policies or that will gradually transform existing social systems. In the past, forms of civilization ultimately collapsed under the weight of their contradictions and there are signs that the present form of global socio-economic system will do so as well. But I do not find it “revolutionary” to hope for the collapse of capitalist civilization because we know more or less exactly what we need to do today address its problems: re-distribute wealth, gradually implement an energy transition towards renewables, gradually reduce the ecological footprint of humanity on the earth (beginning with the grotesque overconsumption of resources in the global north, and so on. Arguing in the abstract in academic treatises that capitalism cannot be reformed and therefore must be overthrown wholesale is a waste of breath and resources.
Let me take one example to conclude the argument. In 2024 China invested 625 billion dollars in renewable energy. One can remain critical of the undemoratic politics of the Chinese Communist Party and still agree that this investment contributes in a meaningful and measurable way to brining about the globally necessary transition towards renewables. It does not matter to the soundness of this policy whether or not “socialism with Chinese characteristics” is real socialism or not. That is a taxonomic, not a political, question. Political questions ultimately come down to the real world effects of different policies on people’s lives and life-horizons. If there is a logic to historical development it is not a metaphysical force working behind the backs of people, as Hegel argued, it is an emergent product of institutionalized decisions. Different forms of civilization are not stages of the realizations of a universal historical goal but solutions to problems as they appear to the people living at the time and as they are modified by the social practices that try to solve them. Learning from history does not mean seeing through the noise of detail to the underlying universal rationality working itself outbut developing deeper understanding of the causes of contemporary problems and what the moment demands in terms of changed policies and practices. If another world is possible then it will emerge over time as the synthesis of concrete improvements (effective solutions to immediate problems) and not the remaking of the world according to an abstract idea of how it ought to be organized.

