Forecasts
Our global economic and financial forecasts
Find out what our economists and strategists are expecting over coming quarters.
Growth (GDP)
Last updated: 11 June
| YoY% (avg) | 2Q26F | 3Q26F | 4Q26F | 1Q27F | 2Q27F | 3Q27F | 4Q27F | 2026F | 2027F | 2028F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Japan | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Germany | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| France | -0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| UK | 0.6 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Italy | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Canada | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Australia | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| Eurozone | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Austria | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Spain | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.7 | - |
| Netherlands | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Belgium | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Greece | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Portugal | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | - |
| Switzerland | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| YoY% (avg) | 2Q26F | 3Q26F | 4Q26F | 1Q27F | 2Q27F | 3Q27F | 4Q27F | 2026F | 2027F | 2028F |
| Bulgaria | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.5 | - |
| Croatia | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 1.7 | - |
| Czech Republic | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| Hungary | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Poland | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Turkey | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Serbia | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 3.2 | - |
| Azerbaijan | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
| Kazakhstan | 5.0 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| Russia | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Uzbekistan | 7.3 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Ukraine | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| China | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| India | 6.5 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 6.5 | 6.8 |
| Indonesia | 4.9 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Korea | 3.4 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Philippines | 3.5 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
Inflation (CPI)
Last updated: 11 June
| YoY% (avg) | 2Q26F | 3Q26F | 4Q26F | 1Q27F | 2Q27F | 3Q27F | 4Q27F | 2026F | 2027F | 2028F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US | 4.0 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Japan | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Germany | 3.3 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| France | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| UK | 3.0 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| Italy | 3.2 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Canada | 3.0 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Australia | 5.0 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 |
| Eurozone | 3.2 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Austria | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Spain | 3.6 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 2.6 | - |
| Netherlands | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.0 |
| Belgium | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| Greece | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| Portugal | 2.9 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.2 | - |
| Switzerland | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Bulgaria | 3.8 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.5 | - |
| Croatia | 4.3 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 2.7 | - |
| Czech Republic | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Hungary | 2.5 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 2.9 |
| Poland | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| Turkey | 32.5 | 29.8 | 29.0 | 25.9 | 22.5 | 21.4 | 21.0 | 30.9 | 22.9 | 20.1 |
| Serbia | 3.0 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 3.8 | - |
| Azerbaijan | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| Kazakhstan | 10.4 | 9.7 | 10.0 | 10.2 | 10.3 | 9.9 | 9.3 | 10.4 | 9.9 | 8.4 |
| Russia | 5.5 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Uzbekistan | 6.0 | 5.7 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 7.3 | 6.5 | 7.7 | 6.5 |
| Ukraine | 7.5 | 8.5 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 7.3 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 4.9 |
| China | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| India | 4.0 | 4.8 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Indonesia | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Korea | 3.1 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Philippines | 7.4 | 7.2 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 |
| Singapore | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Taiwan | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
Policy rates
Last updated: 11 June
| G10 (%, eop) | 2Q26F | 3Q26F | 4Q26F | 1Q27F | 2Q27F | 3Q27F | 4Q27F | 2026F | 2027F | 2028F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US (upper bound) | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.75 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Eurozone (deposit rate) | 2.25 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.50 | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Japan (upper bound) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.25 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| UK | 3.75 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 3.75 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 4.00 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Switzerland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sweden | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 1.75 | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Norway | 4.25 | 4.50 | 4.50 | 4.50 | 4.50 | 4.25 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Canada | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.75 | 2.25 | 2.75 | 3.00 |
| Australia | 4.35 | 4.35 | 4.35 | 4.35 | 4.35 | 3.85 | 3.85 | 4.35 | 3.85 | 3.60 |
| EMEA (%, eop) | ||||||||||
| Czech Republic | 3.50 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Hungary | 6.00 | 5.50 | 5.50 | 5.50 | 5.50 | 5.50 | 5.00 | 5.50 | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| Poland | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Turkey | 37.00 | 37.00 | 35.00 | 32.00 | 29.00 | 27.00 | 25.00 | 34.00 | 24.00 | 24.00 |
| Serbia | 5.75 | 5.50 | 5.50 | 5.25 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 5.50 | 5.00 | - |
| Azerbaijan | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.00 |
| Kazakhstan | 17.00 | 16.50 | 16.00 | 15.50 | 15.00 | 14.50 | 14.00 | 16.00 | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| Russia | 14.50 | 13.50 | 13.50 | 12.50 | 12.00 | 11.50 | 11.00 | 13.50 | 11.00 | 8.50 |
| Uzbekistan | 13.50 | 13.50 | 13.50 | 13.50 | 13.50 | 13.00 | 12.00 | 13.50 | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| Ukraine | 15.00 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 14.50 | 14.00 | 13.50 | 13.00 | 15.00 | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| Asia (%, eop) | ||||||||||
| China (7 day reverse repo rate) | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| India | 5.25 | 5.75 | 5.75 | 5.75 | 5.75 | 5.75 | 5.75 | 5.75 | 5.75 | 5.25 |
| Indonesia | 5.50 | 5.75 | 5.75 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.75 | 5.25 | 5.00 |
| Korea | 2.50 | 2.75 | 3.00 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Philippines | 4.75 | 5.00 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.00 | 4.75 | 4.50 | 5.25 | 4.50 | 4.50 |
| Taiwan | 2.00 | 2.13 | 2.13 | 2.13 | 2.13 | 2.13 | 2.13 | 2.13 | 2.13 | 2.13 |
3 month rates
Last updated: 11 June
| G10 (%, eop) | 2Q26F | 3Q26F | 4Q26F | 1Q27F | 2Q27F | 3Q27F | 4Q27F | 2026F | 2027F | 2028F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US | 3.65 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 3.15 | 3.15 | 3.60 | 3.15 | 3.30 |
| Eurozone | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.50 | 2.20 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.60 | 2.25 | 2.30 |
| Japan | 1.35 | 1.45 | 1.65 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| UK | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 3.95 | 3.70 | 3.45 | 3.25 | 4.00 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Switzerland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Canada | 2.10 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.90 | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| Australia | 4.38 | 4.40 | 4.40 | 4.30 | 4.30 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.40 | 4.00 | 3.85 |
| EMEA (%, eop) | ||||||||||
| Czech Republic | 3.59 | 3.62 | 3.62 | 3.62 | 3.62 | 3.62 | 3.62 | 3.62 | 3.62 | 3.62 |
| Hungary | 5.80 | 5.40 | 5.40 | 5.40 | 5.40 | 5.40 | 4.90 | 5.40 | 4.90 | 4.00 |
| Poland | 3.83 | 3.83 | 3.83 | 3.83 | 3.83 | 3.83 | 3.83 | 3.83 | 3.83 | 3.83 |
| Turkey | 43.95 | 39.25 | 34.50 | 31.55 | 28.70 | 26.70 | 24.50 | 34.50 | 24.50 | 23.40 |
| Serbia | 4.70 | 4.70 | 4.70 | 4.50 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 4.70 | 3.90 | - |
| Kazakhstan | 15.00 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 15.30 | 14.80 | 14.30 | 13.80 | 15.00 | 13.80 | 11.80 |
| Russia | 13.50 | 12.50 | 12.50 | 11.50 | 11.00 | 10.50 | 10.00 | 12.50 | 10.00 | 8.50 |
| Asia (%, eop) | ||||||||||
| China* | 1.42 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.35 | 1.25 | 1.30 |
| India | 6.30 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.25 |
| Indonesia | 5.50 | 5.50 | 5.40 | 5.50 | 5.50 | 5.50 | 5.50 | 5.40 | 5.50 | 5.25 |
| Korea | 2.80 | 3.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Philippines* | 3.50 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Singapore | 1.15 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Taiwan* | 1.68 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.80 |
Bonds & Swaps
Last updated: 15 June
| US Treasury yields (%, eop) | 2Q26F | 3Q26F | 4Q26F | 1Q27F | 2Q27F | 3Q27F | 4Q27F | 2026F | 2027F | 2028F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UST 2Y | 4.15 | 4.10 | 4.00 | 3.70 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| UST 5Y | 4.20 | 4.20 | 4.15 | 3.85 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 3.85 | 4.15 | 3.85 | 3.90 |
| UST 10Y | 4.50 | 4.50 | 4.50 | 4.25 | 4.25 | 4.30 | 4.40 | 4.50 | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| UST 30Y | 5.00 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 4.90 | 5.00 | 5.05 | 5.15 | 5.00 | 5.15 | 5.15 |
| US swap rates (SOFR, %, eop) | ||||||||||
| SOFR | 3.65 | 3.65 | 3.65 | 3.65 | 3.40 | 3.15 | 3.15 | 3.65 | 3.15 | 3.15 |
| US 2Y swap | 4.00 | 3.95 | 3.85 | 3.55 | 3.35 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 3.85 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| US 5Y swap | 3.90 | 3.90 | 3.85 | 3.55 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 3.55 | 3.85 | 3.55 | 3.60 |
| US 10Y swap | 4.10 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 3.85 | 3.85 | 3.85 | 3.95 | 4.10 | 3.95 | 4.00 |
| US 30Y swap | 4.25 | 4.25 | 4.25 | 4.15 | 4.25 | 4.25 | 4.35 | 4.25 | 4.35 | 4.30 |
| German Bund yields (%, eop) | ||||||||||
| Bund 2Y | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.60 | 2.50 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.40 | 2.50 |
| Bund 5Y | 2.80 | 2.85 | 2.75 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.85 |
| Bund 10Y | 2.80 | 2.85 | 2.75 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.85 |
| Bund 30Y | 3.65 | 3.65 | 3.65 | 3.60 | 3.65 | 3.65 | 3.70 | 3.65 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| EUR swap rates (EURIBOR 6m, %, eop) | ||||||||||
| EURIBOR 6M | 2.80 | 2.85 | 2.80 | 2.65 | 2.45 | 2.45 | 2.45 | 2.80 | 2.45 | 2.45 |
| EUR 2Y swap | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.75 | 2.65 | 2.55 | 2.55 | 2.55 | 2.75 | 2.55 | 2.65 |
| EUR 5Y swap | 2.95 | 2.95 | 2.85 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.80 | 2.85 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
| EUR 10Y swap | 3.15 | 3.15 | 3.10 | 2.95 | 2.95 | 2.95 | 3.05 | 3.10 | 3.05 | 3.15 |
| EUR 30Y swap | 3.30 | 3.35 | 3.35 | 3.30 | 3.35 | 3.35 | 3.40 | 3.35 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Other G10 bond yields (10Y, %, eop) | ||||||||||
| Japan | 2.65 | 2.80 | 2.90 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.90 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| France | 3.85 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 3.80 | 3.75 | 3.65 | 3.75 | 3.90 | 3.75 | 3.85 |
| Italy | 3.85 | 3.90 | 3.85 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.70 | 3.80 | 3.85 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| Spain | 3.55 | 3.60 | 3.55 | 3.45 | 3.45 | 3.45 | 3.55 | 3.55 | 3.55 | 3.60 |
| UK | 5.00 | 5.00 | 4.90 | 4.65 | 4.55 | 4.45 | 4.50 | 4.30 | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| Netherlands | 3.20 | 3.25 | 3.15 | 3.05 | 3.05 | 3.05 | 3.15 | 3.15 | 3.15 | 3.20 |
| Belgium | 3.65 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 3.60 | 3.55 | 3.55 | 3.65 | 3.70 | 3.65 | 3.75 |
| Austria | 3.40 | 3.45 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.45 |
| Ireland | 3.30 | 3.35 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Portugal | 3.50 | 3.55 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.35 | 3.45 | 3.50 | 3.45 | 3.55 |
| Switzerland | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| Finland | 3.40 | 3.45 | 3.45 | 3.35 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.45 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Australia | 4.95 | 4.90 | 4.80 | 4.70 | 4.70 | 4.70 | 4.70 | 4.80 | 4.70 | 4.50 |
| EMEA (%, eop) | ||||||||||
| Bulgaria | 3.65 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 3.15 | 3.15 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 3.20 | - |
| Czech Republic | 4.88 | 4.74 | 4.52 | 4.24 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 4.52 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| Hungary | 5.50 | 5.25 | 5.60 | 6.25 | 5.50 | 5.25 | 5.00 | 5.60 | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| Poland | 5.50 | 5.20 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 5.05 | 5.05 | 5.00 | 5.05 | 5.10 |
| Russia | 14.50 | 13.25 | 13.25 | 12.00 | 11.50 | 11.00 | 10.50 | 13.25 | 10.50 | 10.00 |
| Turkey | 35.85 | 30.40 | 29.20 | 28.15 | 25.05 | 24.30 | 23.15 | 29.20 | 23.15 | 20.60 |
| Asia (%, eop) | ||||||||||
| China | 1.90 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.05 | 2.10 | 2.15 | 2.00 | 2.15 | 2.15 |
| India | 6.90 | 6.90 | 6.90 | 6.40 | 6.40 | 6.40 | 6.40 | 6.90 | 6.40 | 6.50 |
| Indonesia | 6.70 | 6.60 | 6.50 | 6.60 | 6.60 | 6.60 | 6.60 | 6.50 | 6.60 | 6.50 |
| Korea | 4.20 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Philippines | 6.30 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.40 | 6.25 | 6.25 | 6.25 | 6.50 | 6.25 | 6.00 |
| Singapore | 2.10 | 2.10 | 2.05 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.05 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Taiwan | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.65 | 1.65 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.80 |
FX
Last updated: 18 May
| G10 (eop) | 2Q26F | 3Q26F | 4Q26F | 2027F | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro | EUR/USD | 1.17 | 1.18 | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Japan | USD/JPY | 158 | 158 | 155 | 150 |
| UK | GBP/USD | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| Japan | EUR/JPY | 185 | 186 | 186 | 183 |
| UK | EUR/GBP | 0.87 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.90 |
| Canada | USD/CAD | 1.37 | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.33 |
| Australia | AUD/USD | 0.73 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| New Zealand | NZD/USD | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| Switzerland | EUR/CHF | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.95 |
| Sweden | EUR/SEK | 10.90 | 10.80 | 10.70 | 10.50 |
| Norway | EUR/NOK | 10.75 | 10.60 | 10.50 | 10.50 |
| Denmark | EUR/DKK | 7.47 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 |
| EMEA (eop) | 2Q26F | 3Q26F | 4Q26F | 2027F | |
| Serbia | EUR/RSD | 117.35 | 117.30 | 117.30 | 117.20 |
| Czech Republic | EUR/CZK | 24.32 | 24.26 | 24.20 | 24.03 |
| Hungary | EUR/HUF | 350 | 365 | 350 | 340 |
| Poland | EUR/PLN | 4.23 | 4.24 | 4.22 | 4.25 |
| Turkey | USD/TRY | 46.80 | 49.60 | 53.00 | 62.00 |
| South Africa | USD/ZAR | 16.25 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 15.50 |
| Israel | USD/ILS | 3.00 | 3.05 | 3.05 | 3.05 |
| CIS (eop) | 2Q26F | 3Q26F | 4Q26F | 2027F | |
| Azerbaijan | USD/AZN | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| Kazakhstan | USD/KZT | 470 | 480 | 490 | 540 |
| Russia | USD/RUB | 75.00 | 80.00 | 85.00 | 93.00 |
| EUR/RUB | 87.75 | 94.40 | 102.00 | 113.46 | |
| Uzbekistan | USD/UZS | 11970 | 12085 | 12130 | 12615 |
| Ukraine | USD/UAH | 42.80 | 42.80 | 42.80 | 43.50 |
| Latam (eop) | 2Q26F | 3Q26F | 4Q26F | 2027F | |
| Brazil | USD/BRL | 5.00 | 4.75 | 4.50 | 4.75 |
| Mexico | USD/MXN | 17.50 | 17.50 | 17.25 | 17.25 |
| Chile | USD/CLP | 900 | 875 | 875 | 875 |
| Asia (eop) | 2Q26F | 3Q26F | 4Q26F | 2027F | |
| China | USD/CNY | 6.78 | 6.75 | 6.70 | 6.55 |
| India | USD/INR | 97.00 | 96.50 | 95.50 | 94.00 |
| Indonesia | USD/IDR | 17800 | 17600 | 17300 | 17000 |
| Korea | USD/KRW | 1475 | 1450 | 1425 | 1400 |
| Philippines | USD/PHP | 61.75 | 61.50 | 61.00 | 59.00 |
| Singapore | USD/SGD | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.26 | 1.26 |
| Taiwan | USD/TWD | 31.30 | 31.00 | 30.90 | 30.20 |
Commodities
Last updated: 11 June
| Oil and natural gas forecasts (avg) | 2Q26F | 3Q26F | 4Q26F | 1Q27F | 2Q27F | 3Q27F | 4Q27F | 2026F | 2027F | 2028F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent ($/bbl) | 103 | 110 | 100 | 90 | 86 | 81 | 77 | 98 | 84 | 70 |
| Dutch TTF (EUR/MWh) | 52 | 60 | 70 | 60 | 46 | 43 | 43 | 56 | 48 | 31 |
| Metal Forecasts (avg) | 2Q26F | 3Q26F | 4Q26F | 2026F |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Copper ($/t) | 13,500 | 12,500 | 13,000 | 12,968 |
| Aluminium ($/t) | 3,600 | 3,500 | 3,400 | 3,425 |
| Nickel ($/t) | 18,000 | 17,500 | 17,000 | 17,505 |
| Zinc ($/t) | 3,350 | 3,300 | 3,250 | 3,290 |
| Lead ($/t) | 2,000 | 1,950 | 2,050 | 1,995 |
| Gold ($/oz) | 4,700 | 4,850 | 5,000 | 4,855 |
| Silver ($/oz) | 75.00 | 79.00 | 84.00 | 80.50 |
| Iron Ore ($/t) | 105.00 | 95.00 | 100.00 | 100.50 |
