I only use X, beware of imposters.
AI/Semi Supply Chain Analyst
Not investment advice, DYODD. Sharing personal thought process on supply chain bottlenecks.
The Neocloud List got updated:
$IREN - IREN secured a $9.7B GPU cloud contract with Microsoft, including 20% upfront prepayment, to deploy NVIDIA GB300s over five years.
$CIFR - CIFR secured a $5.5 billion, 15-year lease agreement with Amazon Web Services (AWS).
The Neocloud
I first bought $HOOD at $11.47 and watched it grow 1000%+ to a 125B+ MC. Scaling from $150M to 1B quarterly revenue over years.
I thought this was insane until I saw $NBIS.
This 30B company is about to go from $100m quarterly revenue to $1.5-2B quarterly revenue the next year
As expected, with META and their recent 14B deal with CRWV + MSFT with their 17B deal with $NBIS, billions to trillions will pour into Neoclouds from Mag7 when they're unable to handle new AI compute.
Expects companies like AWS, ORCL and others to make more deals soon with
Nebius is playing out exactly how institutions wanted:
Retail panic.
Capitulation.
Liquidity.
I’ve been saying this for weeks: $NBIS Institutional ownership is ~38%. Every trick in the book will be used to get that number to 65-80% like $HOOD:
Here's what and why this is
To settle the Neocloud debate:
$NBIS > $IREN + others.
Based on the $ORCL report, NBIS whitepaper, $CRWV acquisitions, and other factors,
I decided to consolidate millions into Nebius and sell off miners like $CIFR.
📏 Gross Margins > GW capacity
Here's the math + why:
Neocloud Position Update Friday Oct 24.
This post is to send a message to $IREN and other Neoclouds holders that:
👑 $NBIS is superior.
I sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain, $WULF 5-10% loss.
Now with $2M+ exposure in $NBIS
The -17% dip in $NBIS on no material news doesn't change any conviction. My bull-case PT is still $400.
We've seen this move before:
- $ASTS ER drop from $58 -> $36, into $83.
- $GOOGL AI search drop from $170 -> $144 into $257.
- $HOOD Macro drop from $40 -> $28, into $135
Initiated a small position ($50k shares, $50k April calls) in T1 Energy $TE $4.45, partly because I like League of Legends and Faker.
I have energy positions such as $FLNC, SEI and $EOSE (trimmed) that performed very well.
But like the rest, energy is pointed to benefit from
We're seeing a sector crash in high-beta AI stocks, with names down 30-45%+ in 1M & 10%+ today.
This includes direct beneficiaries of Mag7 Capex :
- Nebius ( $NBIS ): $3B $META deal / $8B forward ARR.
- TeraWulf ( $WULF ): <$50B Antrophic DC + JV FS/ $GOOGL
- Iren ( $IREN
Added $200k worth of $NBIS leaps at $98.8, December $105 2026 strike.
Nebius dropping 30%+ in a week from $140 to $97 might make you second-guess yourself, but it’s times like these where conviction matters most.
If you understand the fundamentals and sector, this is a gift.
Markets are starting to price in:
A divergence between AWS-style full-stack Neoclouds like $NBIS and miners such as $CIFR, $BITF, $CLSK, and others.
This is the reason I sold off $IREN$WULF and others, and consolidated into Nebius.
Why?
💹 Margins > ⚡️Capacity.
Just today:
The harsh reality is:
Many of these HPC miner pivots will fail.
The lack of asymmetrical upside is why I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF and into full-stack AWS Neoclouds like $NBIS
However, miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside 📈
Why?
The harsh reality is:
Many of these HPC miner pivots will fail.
The lack of asymmetrical upside is why I sold off miners like $CIFR, $IREN, $WYFI, and $WULF and into full-stack AWS Neoclouds like $NBIS
However, miners that pivot well like $CRWV have very high upside 📈
Why?
Why I think $NBIS can easily hit ~$400/share or $100B+ market cap in 1 year:
Right now, Nebius trades at a $24B valuation (316%+ increase to $100B).
If we pretend that there's 0 growth in 2026-2027:
Core Business: $31B–$36.5B
Sum of Parts: $7.1B (40% slashed)
Midpoint
Neocloud Position Update Friday Oct 24.
This post is to send a message to $IREN and other Neoclouds holders that:
👑 $NBIS is superior.
I sold out of other Neoclouds: $CIFR 250%+ gain, $IREN, $BITF, $WYFI, 50-100%+ gain, $WULF 5-10% loss.
Now with $2M+ exposure in $NBIS
Why I think $NBIS can easily hit ~$400/share or $100B+ market cap in 1 year:
Right now, Nebius trades at a $24B valuation (316%+ increase to $100B).
If we pretend that there's 0 growth in 2026-2027:
Core Business: $31B–$36.5B
Sum of Parts: $7.1B (40% slashed)
Midpoint
I'm researching new stocks that actually look interesting - rare lately
There's no need to paywall or gatekeep new stocks like others
So just going to share them:
1. $LGN - DC buildout. Mag7 like $APPL, $MSFT, $GOOGL, $TSLA, $AMZN as clients.
2. $LYC.AX - Sole
